CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2020-11-22T01:36:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2020-11-22T01:36ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/16105/-1
CME Note: This CME is associated with an eruption showing dimming to the NE and SW of AR 2783 starting around 2020-11-21T15:20Z. Rising field lines associated with this event are visible in SDO AIA 171/193 near S35E15. The leading edge of this CME is faintly visible in SOHO LASCO C2 coronagraph imagery as early as 2020-11-22T01:36Z. The visibility of this CME in SOHO LASCO C2 is obscured by the emergence of a nearly simultaneous CME also associated with this eruption from AR 2783.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2020-11-26T04:06Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note:
% Compiled module: EAM_V2. ****************************************************************************** Most pr. speed = 300.0 km/s u_r = 349.616 Acceleration: 0.354210 Duration in seconds: 354648.27 Duration in days: 4.1047253 t2 is negative ************************************************************************************** Acceleration of the CME: 0.35 m/s^2 Velocity of the CME at 1 AU: 475.2 km/s Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 26/11/2020 Time: 04:06 UTLead Time: 20.60 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (JHUAPL) on 2020-11-25T07:30Z
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